Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 3.256565 3.871810 4.538417 5.310439 6.175936 7.112394 8.198238
2025-12-21 2.236412 3.010235 3.922931 5.062899 6.432136 8.007572 9.940269
2025-12-28 1.767648 2.664613 3.805048 5.322856 7.249730 9.574422 12.548507
2026-01-04 1.463315 2.452374 3.798680 5.692137 8.209858 11.366254 15.540096
2026-01-11 1.213603 2.255304 3.768041 6.005248 9.103973 13.118744 18.576833
2026-01-18 0.954003 1.981389 3.577729 6.060922 9.639865 14.424124 21.098394
2026-01-25 0.708372 1.666202 3.267649 5.893249 9.832234 15.262365 23.028790
2026-02-01 0.529681 1.416647 3.012026 5.762569 10.045329 16.116354 24.994160
2026-02-08 0.395378 1.209739 2.786714 5.641438 10.244909 16.940571 26.930844
2026-02-15 0.299999 1.051998 2.616949 5.582596 10.520403 17.869641 29.031531
2026-02-22 0.256559 1.000690 2.635713 5.839396 11.296679 19.551478 32.244176
2026-03-01 0.200419 0.895468 2.528494 5.858679 11.685182 20.664597 34.667354
2026-03-08 0.133934 0.729843 2.266982 5.573885 11.565102 21.022106 36.035061
2026-03-15 0.088649 0.600257 2.053264 5.348234 11.520434 21.484470 37.565702
2026-03-22 0.075888 0.582567 2.099783 5.637961 12.381710 23.394464 41.317788
2026-03-29 0.068696 0.584568 2.195582 6.035033 13.450972 25.667875 45.677252
2026-04-05 0.060060 0.574911 2.259246 6.369206 14.421635 27.811176 49.888635
2026-04-12 0.045305 0.522616 2.198164 6.431681 14.900157 29.171831 52.930842
2026-04-19 0.029229 0.442278 2.038084 6.258920 14.930481 29.795667 54.843655
2026-04-26 0.018505 0.377139 1.903417 6.123698 15.016533 30.506085 56.900134
2026-05-03 0.011242 0.321453 1.780602 5.997802 15.106211 31.216395 58.962647
2026-05-10 0.006835 0.279479 1.690202 5.936711 15.314524 32.128918 61.362005
2026-05-17 0.005532 0.274201 1.731606 6.205739 16.191377 34.211259 65.679029